Recent Studies

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Recent studies completed by ADR International are listed here, along with selected studies completed by the firm before 2002. In many cases, links are provided to published or other versions of the studies that may be downloaded from the internet. Please contact us with any questions about these studies or to request a complete list of studies undertaken by ADR International.

[ Recent Studies | Earlier Studies ]
(U
pdated October 2013)

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Recent Studies & Publications
[ Recent Studies | Earlier Studies ]
 

"A Perspective on a Popular Model for Estimating Consistent Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rates," ADR Working Paper, September 20, 2013.

"The Long-Term Outlook for US-China Trade," Chapter 9 in Part II of China-United States Educational Foundation, US-China Economic Relations in the Next Ten Years, Hong Kong, 2013. (with Gary Hufbauer).

"Gravity Model Assessment of the Impact of WTO Accession on Russian Trade," in The United States Should Establish Permanent Normal Trade Relations with Russia, eds., Anders Aslund and Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Policy Analyses in International Economics 97, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, 2012.

"On the Potential Impacts of North Dakota Becoming Saudi Arabia," ADR Working Paper, October 29, 2011.

"Trade Policy after Doha," G20 Paper Series, German Marshall Fund, Washington, May 26, 2011 (with Gary Hufbauer).

"Three Scenarios for the World Economy 2010 to 2020: Implications for Trade Policy and Social Indicators," Report prepared for the US National Intelligence Council, March 23, 2010 (with Gary Hufbauer and Barbara Kotschwar).

"India-Pakistan Trade: A Roadmap for Enhancing Economic Relations," Paper prepared for the EABER and SABER Conference: Advancing Economic Integration in South and East Asia. Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. February 11-12, 2010 (with Mohsin Khan).

"Morocco’s Economic Performance under the US-Morocco Free Trade Agreement." In Capitalizing on the Morocco-US Free Trade Agreement: A Road Map for Success, eds., Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Claire Brunel, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., September 2009.

"Trade and Welfare Benefits of EU Integration for the Western Balkan Countries," Report prepared for HTSPE, Hertfordshire, UK, December 2008 (with David Kernohan).

"Normalization of Economic Relations: Consequences for Iran’s Economy and the United States," Report prepared for the National Foreign Trade Council, Washington, DC, November 2008, with Gary Clyde Hufbauer.

"Maghreb Trade and Investment" and "Gravity Model Analysis," in Maghreb Regional and Global Integration: A Dream to Be Fulfilled, eds., Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Claire Brunel, Policy Analyses in International Economics 86, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, October 2008.

"The Economic Impact of Trade Agreements Parity for Manufacturing Firms Operation in US Foreign-Trade Zones," Report prepared for the National Association of Foreign-Trade Zones, Washington, DC, March 27, 2008, with Gary Clyde Hufbauer.

"What Do Gravity Models Tell Us About PTAs Impact On Trade Flows: More Creation or More Diversion?" Vox, VoxEU.org, October 16, 2007, with Gary Clyde Hufbauer.

"Gravity Model Estimates," in Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey J. Schott, "Fitting Asia-Pacific Agreements into the WTO System: Appendix on Gravity Model Results," HEI, SECO, NCCR Conference. Geneva, September 10-12, 2007 .

"Blind Faith in the Balkans: Trade Policy Options for South-East Europe," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Vol. 1, No. 1 (2007), with David Kernohan.

"An Econometric Analysis of Economic Sanctions," in Economic Sanctions Reconsidered, 3rd Edition, by Kimberly Ann Elliott, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Jeffrey J. Schott, and Barbara Oegg, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., 2007.

"The Trade Effects of Preferential Arrangements: New Evidence from the Australia Productivity Commission," Working Paper 07-1, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C.

"Estimates from Gravity and CGE Models," in Sustaining Reform with a US-Pakistan Free Trade Agreement, by Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Shahid Javed Burki, Policy Analyses in International Economics 80, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., with John Gilbert.

"Bilateral Trade and Investment" and "Potential Benefits of a US-Colombia FTA," in Trade Relations between Colombia and the United States, ed., Jeffrey J. Schott, Policy Analyses in International Economics 79, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., August 2006, with John Gilbert, Paul Grieco, and Jeffrey Schott.

"Estimates from Gravity and CGE Models," in The Shape of a Swiss-US Free Trade Agreement, by Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Richard E. Baldwin, Policy Analyses in International Economics 76, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., February 2006, with John Gilbert.

"Predicting Trade Expansion under FTAs and Multilateral Agreements,"  Working Paper 05-13, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., October 2005, with John Gilbert.

"Measuring the Economic Impact of an EU-GCC FTA," CEPS Working Document No. 206, Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), Brussels, July 2004. Published in Journal of Economic Cooperation among Islamic Countries, Vol. 26 (No. 1), January 2005, with David Kernohan.

"The Prospects of a Free Trade Agreement between Sri Lanka and the United States." Study prepared for the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., May 2004.

Quantitative Estimates of the Economic Impacts of US Bilateral Free Trade Agreements. Paper prepared for the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Washington, D.C., with John P. Gilbert. June 2003.

US Free Trade Agreements with ASEAN. Paper prepared for the Conference on Free Trade Agreements and US Trade Policy, Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 7-8, 2003, Washington, D.C. 

Rwanda as a Free Trade Zone: An Inquiry into the Economic Impacts. Study of the potential international trade and investment-related impacts on agriculture and industry of establishing Rwanda as an economywide free trade zone, prepared for the Rwanda Ministry of Commerce and the U.S. Mission to Rwanda of the U.S. Agency for International Development with Vernon O. Roningen. June 2002.

The New EAC Customs Union: Implications for Trade, Industry Competitiveness, and Economic Welfare in East Africa. Study of the economic impacts of the new East African Community customs union prepared for the Uganda Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development and the U.S. Mission to Uganda of the U.S. Agency for International Development with Marios Obwona and Vernon O. Roningen. April 2002. 


Selected Earlier Studies & Publications
[ Recent Studies | Earlier Studies ]

Trade Policy Analysis and Modeling in Developing Countries Using a Simple Model of World Trade, September 2002.

"Regional Integration Arrangements in the Middle East and North Africa: An Analysis of Egypt's Foreign Trade and Development Interests," in H. Nassar and S. Aziz, eds., Egyptian Exports and Challenges of the 21st Century. Cairo: Cairo University, Center for Economic and Financial Research and Studies, 2000, with M.K. Saber.

Trade Policies and Prospects of the Eastern Caribbean States in the New Global Economy. Paper prepared for the Caribbean Country Management Unit (Latin America and the Caribbean Region) of the World Bank. July 2000.

Modeling the Effects on Agriculture of Protection in Developing Countries. Paper prepared for the World Bank under a research and capacity-building project on economic issues and policy options for developing countries in the new multilateral trade negotiations. September 1999.

"Foreign Trade and Investment Policies in Developing Asia," Asian Development Review, Vol. 16, No. 2, 1998.

Regional Integration Arrangements: Static Economic Effects, Quantitative Evidence, and Policy Guidelines. International Trade Division of the World Bank. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 2007. November 1998.

"Regionalism and the Bias against Agriculture in Less Developed Countries," The World Economy: Global Trade Policy 1996, eds., Sven Arndt and Chris Milner. Oxford: Blackwell Publishers, 1996.

"Southeast Asia's Timid Traders," The 5th Column, Far Eastern Economic Review, January 11, 1996.

Regional Trading Arrangements among Developing Countries: The ASEAN Example. Research Report 103. International Food Policy Research Institute. September 1995.

[ Recent Studies | Earlier Studies ]